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China Sees Investment Slump in July Despite Stronger Exports

China Sees Investment Slump in July Despite Stronger Exports

Despite stronger-than-expected export growth, China’s July data showed a sharp decline in investment and retail sales, along with slower industrial output, indicating weakening domestic demand, according to Standard Chartered economists.

tredu.com | 6 days ago

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US Retail Sales Expected to Grow for Second Month in July

US Retail Sales Expected to Grow for Second Month in July

US Retail Sales are forecast to rise 0.5% in July, continuing June’s growth, supporting expectations for a Fed rate cut in September.

tredu.com | 6 days ago

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Gold Holds Gains as USD Rally Falters on Fed Rate-Cut Bets

Gold Holds Gains as USD Rally Falters on Fed Rate-Cut Bets

Gold prices edge higher amid a stalled USD rally driven by strong US PPI data, with markets anticipating a Fed rate cut in September, supporting the non-yielding metal.

tredu.com | 6 days ago

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GBP/USD Strengthens Near 1.3550 Ahead of US Retail Sales Data

GBP/USD Strengthens Near 1.3550 Ahead of US Retail Sales Data

GBP/USD rises to around 1.3550 supported by a weaker USD and stronger UK economic growth, while traders await key US July Retail Sales data.

tredu.com | 6 days ago

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Silver Price Flat Around $38.00 as Traders Show Hesitation

Silver Price Flat Around $38.00 as Traders Show Hesitation

Silver (XAG/USD) hovers near $38.00 after retreating from a three-week high, with mixed technical signals suggesting caution ahead of a potential breakout or decline.

tredu.com | 6 days ago

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Japanese Yen Strengthens as USD/JPY Slides to 147.00 Amid Weaker USD

Japanese Yen Strengthens as USD/JPY Slides to 147.00 Amid Weaker USD

Japanese Yen gains after stronger-than-expected Q2 GDP data and BoJ’s hawkish stance, pushing USD/JPY down to 147.00 as the US dollar weakens.

tredu.com | 6 days ago

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EUR/JPY Falls Near 171.50 Following Stronger Japan Q2 GDP Data

EUR/JPY Falls Near 171.50 Following Stronger Japan Q2 GDP Data

EUR/JPY declines as the Japanese Yen strengthens after Japan’s Q2 GDP growth of 0.3% QoQ, while the Euro may find support from a widening Fed-ECB interest rate differential.

tredu.com | 6 days ago

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USD/CAD Holds Near 1.3800 as Hot US PPI Lifts Dollar Ahead of Retail Sales Data

USD/CAD Holds Near 1.3800 as Hot US PPI Lifts Dollar Ahead of Retail Sales Data

USD/CAD trades firmly around 1.3800 after hotter-than-expected US PPI data, while markets await US Retail Sales and monitor dovish signals from the Bank of Canada.

tredu.com | 6 days ago

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EUR/USD Rebounds Above 1.1650 as Fed Rate Cut Bets Weigh on US Dollar

EUR/USD Rebounds Above 1.1650 as Fed Rate Cut Bets Weigh on US Dollar

EUR/USD climbs back above 1.1650 after Thursday’s losses, supported by growing Fed rate cut expectations and widening interest rate differential with the ECB.

tredu.com | 6 days ago

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NZD/USD Slides Toward 0.5900 After Weaker-Than-Expected Chinese Data

NZD/USD Slides Toward 0.5900 After Weaker-Than-Expected Chinese Data

NZD/USD dips to around 0.5915 after disappointing Chinese Retail Sales and Industrial Production data, while Fed rate cut expectations may cushion further downside.

tredu.com | 6 days ago

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US Dollar Index Slips Toward 98.00 Ahead of Key Retail Sales Data

US Dollar Index Slips Toward 98.00 Ahead of Key Retail Sales Data

The US Dollar Index fell to around 98.15 on Friday amid expectations of a Fed rate cut, despite stronger-than-expected PPI and jobless claims data. Markets await US Retail Sales figures later today.

tredu.com | 6 days ago

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WTI Rises Above $63.00 Ahead of Trump–Putin Summit in Alaska

WTI Rises Above $63.00 Ahead of Trump–Putin Summit in Alaska

WTI crude oil prices climbed above $63 in early Friday Asian trading, as markets await a high-stakes meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin that could impact the Ukraine war and global energy markets.

tredu.com | 6 days ago

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WTI Drops to Near $62.00 on Oversupply Concerns and Bearish EIA Report

WTI Drops to Near $62.00 on Oversupply Concerns and Bearish EIA Report

WTI prices fall to around $62.15 in Thursday’s early Asian session due to an unexpected rise in US crude inventories and a bearish IEA forecast of an oil surplus. Traders eye the upcoming Trump-Putin meeting for further market clues.

tredu.com | 7 days ago

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Australia's Jobless Rate Drops to 4.2% in July, Employment Change Shows Strong Growth

Australia's Jobless Rate Drops to 4.2% in July, Employment Change Shows Strong Growth

Australia’s unemployment rate fell to 4.2% in July, in line with market expectations. The country saw a strong rise in full-time employment, while part-time employment decreased, according to the latest data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics.

tredu.com | 7 days ago

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NZD/USD Advances Above 0.5950 on Fed Rate Cut Bets and US-China Trade Truce

NZD/USD Advances Above 0.5950 on Fed Rate Cut Bets and US-China Trade Truce

NZD/USD rises to around 0.5985 in Thursday’s Asian session, boosted by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and a US-China trade truce extension. Investors await the US Producer Price Index (PPI) and Initial Jobless Claims data later today.

tredu.com | 7 days ago

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AUD/JPY Falls to 96.00 Despite Strong Australian Labor Data and Fed Rate Cut Bets

AUD/JPY Falls to 96.00 Despite Strong Australian Labor Data and Fed Rate Cut Bets

AUD/JPY declines to 96.20 as the Japanese Yen strengthens amid tightening yield spreads. Despite positive Australian employment data, growing Fed rate cut expectations and BoJ policy concerns weigh on the pair.

tredu.com | 7 days ago

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Japanese Yen Strengthens to Multi-Week High Amid Bearish USD and Diverging BoJ-Fed Policies

Japanese Yen Strengthens to Multi-Week High Amid Bearish USD and Diverging BoJ-Fed Policies

The Japanese Yen continues to rise against a weaker US Dollar, reaching a multi-week high as market expectations diverge between the BoJ and Fed's policy outlooks. Despite risks in Japan's economy, JPY remains supported by safe-haven demand.

tredu.com | 7 days ago

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Gold Retreats from Multi-Day Peak as Risk-On Sentiment Weighs, Fed Rate Cut Hopes Support XAU/USD

Gold Retreats from Multi-Day Peak as Risk-On Sentiment Weighs, Fed Rate Cut Hopes Support XAU/USD

Gold (XAU/USD) pulls back from its recent peak as positive market sentiment undermines safe-haven demand. Despite this, rising Fed rate cut expectations and dip-buying support limit the downside for the precious metal.

tredu.com | 7 days ago

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EUR/JPY Falls Below 171.50 After Bessent Criticizes BoJ; Eurozone GDP in Focus

EUR/JPY Falls Below 171.50 After Bessent Criticizes BoJ; Eurozone GDP in Focus

EUR/JPY drops below 171.50 after US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent criticizes the Bank of Japan's inflation strategy. Markets now await Eurozone GDP and industrial production data for further direction.

tredu.com | 7 days ago

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Australian Dollar Holds on to Gains as US Dollar Weakens on Fed Rate Cut Expectations

Australian Dollar Holds on to Gains as US Dollar Weakens on Fed Rate Cut Expectations

The Australian Dollar (AUD) extends its gains as Australia's labor market shows positive data, while the US Dollar weakens due to growing Fed rate cut expectations. Australia's unemployment rate drops to 4.2%, and employment change exceeds expectations.

tredu.com | 7 days ago

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USD/INR Under Pressure Ahead of Trump-Putin Summit and Fed Rate Cut Expectations

USD/INR Under Pressure Ahead of Trump-Putin Summit and Fed Rate Cut Expectations

The Indian Rupee (INR) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) as expectations for a Fed rate cut rise. Investors are awaiting India-US inflation data and the upcoming Trump-Putin summit.

tredu.com | 7 days ago

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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD Pulls Back From Multi-Week High, Stabilizes Around Mid-$38.00s

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD Pulls Back From Multi-Week High, Stabilizes Around Mid-$38.00s

Silver (XAG/USD) retreats slightly after hitting a multi-week high, currently trading around mid-$38.00s. A modest USD recovery and overbought conditions prompt some profit-taking, though the technical setup suggests potential dip-buying.

tredu.com | 7 days ago

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USD/CAD Faces Pressure as Fed Rate Cut Bets and Oil Support Canadian Dollar

USD/CAD Faces Pressure as Fed Rate Cut Bets and Oil Support Canadian Dollar

USD/CAD continues its decline as the US Dollar weakens due to growing expectations of Fed rate cuts. The Canadian Dollar is supported by rising oil prices and a 94% probability of a Fed rate cut in September.

tredu.com | 7 days ago

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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Rises to $3,365 as Rate Cut Expectations Build

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Rises to $3,365 as Rate Cut Expectations Build

Gold prices rise to near $3,365 in Thursday's early Asian session, supported by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut. Declining US inflation and jobs data add to bullish sentiment, but easing trade tensions could dampen demand for gold.

tredu.com | 7 days ago

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EUR/USD Holds at 1.1700 as Eurozone Q2 GDP and US PPI Data Loom

EUR/USD Holds at 1.1700 as Eurozone Q2 GDP and US PPI Data Loom

EUR/USD remains steady at 1.1700 as markets await Eurozone Q2 GDP data. With growing expectations of a US Fed rate cut, the USD may weaken further, but the focus remains on the upcoming US Producer Price Index (PPI) and jobless claims.

tredu.com | 8 days ago

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USD/CAD Drops to 1.3750 on Expectations of Fed Rate Cut

USD/CAD Drops to 1.3750 on Expectations of Fed Rate Cut

USD/CAD fell to around 1.3755 during Thursday’s early Asian session as markets priced in a likely Fed rate cut in September, pressuring the US Dollar.

tredu.com | 8 days ago

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Trump Targets US Institutions: Dismisses Stats Chief, Threatens Powell with Lawsuit

Trump Targets US Institutions: Dismisses Stats Chief, Threatens Powell with Lawsuit

US President Donald Trump fires head of statistics agency, nominates Heritage Foundation economist, and threatens to sue Fed Chair Powell over cost overruns. Critics warn of politicization of key institutions.

tredu.com | 8 days ago

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US July Inflation Mixed: Headline Slightly Softer, Core CPI Hits 2025 High

US July Inflation Mixed: Headline Slightly Softer, Core CPI Hits 2025 High

US inflation data for July came in mixed, with headline CPI slightly below expectations and core CPI rising to a year-to-date high. Shelter and services prices drove the increase, while goods inflation remained weak.

tredu.com | 8 days ago

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EUR Weakens as ZEW Survey Reveals Negative Sentiment on US-EU Trade Deal

EUR Weakens as ZEW Survey Reveals Negative Sentiment on US-EU Trade Deal

The Euro faces pressure after the latest ZEW survey showed poor sentiment regarding the US-EU trade deal. However, EUR/USD remains supported by a weaker USD post-CPI, keeping the bullish case intact short term.

tredu.com | 8 days ago

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Forex Today: Risk Appetite Pressures US Dollar Ahead of Fed Speeches

Forex Today: Risk Appetite Pressures US Dollar Ahead of Fed Speeches

The US Dollar remains under bearish pressure midweek as risk sentiment dominates markets. Lack of high-impact economic data shifts focus to upcoming Federal Reserve commentary.

tredu.com | 8 days ago

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USD/CAD Tests Key Support at 1.3750 as Bullish Trend Remains Intact

USD/CAD Tests Key Support at 1.3750 as Bullish Trend Remains Intact

USD/CAD trades around 1.3760, testing a critical confluence support zone amid a broader bullish trend. RSI stays above 50, signaling continued upside potential, while price probes below the nine-day EMA.

tredu.com | 8 days ago

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Japanese Yen Gains Slightly Against Weaker USD but Lacks Bullish Momentum

Japanese Yen Gains Slightly Against Weaker USD but Lacks Bullish Momentum

The Japanese Yen edges higher against a broadly weaker US Dollar but struggles to gain traction amid Bank of Japan policy uncertainty and prevailing risk-on sentiment.

tredu.com | 8 days ago

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Australian Dollar Holds Ground as US Dollar Softens on Fed Rate Cut Expectations

Australian Dollar Holds Ground as US Dollar Softens on Fed Rate Cut Expectations

AUD/USD trades steady near recent highs as the US Dollar weakens on dovish Fed outlook. Australia's Q2 Wage Price Index meets expectations, while RBA’s recent rate cut reflects softening inflation and labor data.

tredu.com | 8 days ago

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USD/CHF Trades Sideways at 0.8060 as Fed Rate Cut Bets Weigh on Dollar

USD/CHF Trades Sideways at 0.8060 as Fed Rate Cut Bets Weigh on Dollar

USD/CHF trades around 0.8060 in late Asian session as the US Dollar weakens amid rising expectations of a Fed rate cut in September. Swiss inflation remains subdued, but slightly above forecasts, keeping SNB policy in focus.

tredu.com | 8 days ago

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US Dollar Index Slips to 98.00 as Fed Rate Cut Bets Rise, Independence Concerns Emerge

US Dollar Index Slips to 98.00 as Fed Rate Cut Bets Rise, Independence Concerns Emerge

The US Dollar Index (DXY) weakens to around 98.00 in the Asian session as traders increase bets on a Fed rate cut following softer CPI data. Speculation over Fed independence and a potential lawsuit from President Trump adds further pressure.

tredu.com | 8 days ago

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WTI Holds Above $62.50 as OPEC+ Lifts Demand Forecast and Cuts Supply Outlook

WTI Holds Above $62.50 as OPEC+ Lifts Demand Forecast and Cuts Supply Outlook

WTI trades near $62.50 after OPEC+ raises global oil demand outlook for next year and lowers supply forecast. Market awaits US-Russia summit, while rising US crude inventories signal weakening demand.

tredu.com | 8 days ago

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EUR/USD Climbs Toward 1.1685 as Softer US CPI Reinforces Fed Rate Cut Bets

EUR/USD Climbs Toward 1.1685 as Softer US CPI Reinforces Fed Rate Cut Bets

EUR/USD advances near 1.1685 in Wednesday’s Asian session as US inflation data boosts expectations of a Fed rate cut in September. Meanwhile, weaker-than-expected Eurozone sentiment data slightly caps upside momentum.

tredu.com | 8 days ago

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USD/CAD Holds Firm Above 1.3750 as US CPI Supports Fed Cut Bets, Oil Prices Weigh on Loonie

USD/CAD Holds Firm Above 1.3750 as US CPI Supports Fed Cut Bets, Oil Prices Weigh on Loonie

USD/CAD rises to around 1.3780 during Wednesday's Asian session, buoyed by softer-than-expected US inflation data and declining oil prices that pressure the Canadian Dollar. Market expectations of a Fed rate cut in September now stand at 94%.

tredu.com | 8 days ago

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NZD/USD Dips Toward 0.5950 as China Deflation Fears Weigh and Fed Cut Bets Rise

NZD/USD Dips Toward 0.5950 as China Deflation Fears Weigh and Fed Cut Bets Rise

NZD/USD declines to around 0.5950 during the Asian session on Wednesday, pressured by growing fears of deflation in China and increased expectations of a U.S. Fed rate cut in September. Markets now price in a 94% chance of a rate cut, driving shifts in USD demand.

tredu.com | 8 days ago

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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Climbs Toward $3,350 on Rising Fed Rate Cut Bets

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Climbs Toward $3,350 on Rising Fed Rate Cut Bets

Gold prices are gaining traction, approaching $3,350 amid increasing market expectations of a U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cut in September. While rising CPI data slightly exceeded forecasts, it did not derail investor sentiment.

tredu.com | 8 days ago

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Breaking: US CPI Inflation Stays at 2.7% in July, Below Expectations

Breaking: US CPI Inflation Stays at 2.7% in July, Below Expectations

US CPI inflation held steady at 2.7% YoY in July, missing the 2.8% forecast. The US Dollar weakened slightly as markets adjusted to the softer-than-expected data.

tredu.com | 9 days ago

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US Dollar Index Holds at 98.50 as Traders Await July CPI Data

US Dollar Index Holds at 98.50 as Traders Await July CPI Data

The US Dollar Index remains flat near 98.50 as markets await the July CPI report. Rising inflation may challenge Fed rate cut bets, while softer data could weaken the Dollar.

tredu.com | 9 days ago

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AUD/USD Nosedives to 0.6500 After RBA Delivers Dovish Rate Cut

AUD/USD Nosedives to 0.6500 After RBA Delivers Dovish Rate Cut

AUD/USD falls sharply to 0.6500 after the RBA cuts the Official Cash Rate by 25bps to 3.6% and signals an expansionary policy stance. Traders await US CPI and Australian labor market data for further direction.

tredu.com | 9 days ago

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USD/CAD Rises Toward 1.3800 as Investors Brace for US CPI and Weak Oil Pressures Loonie

USD/CAD Rises Toward 1.3800 as Investors Brace for US CPI and Weak Oil Pressures Loonie

USD/CAD pushes higher toward the 1.3800 mark ahead of key US CPI data, supported by a firmer US Dollar and slumping Oil prices that weigh on the Canadian Dollar. Inflation fears may temper Fed rate cut expectations.

tredu.com | 9 days ago

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GBP/USD Expected to Consolidate Between 1.3395 and 1.3465 with Eyes on 1.3515 Target

GBP/USD Expected to Consolidate Between 1.3395 and 1.3465 with Eyes on 1.3515 Target

GBP/USD remains in a consolidation phase, expected to trade between 1.3395 and 1.3465 in the near term. While upside momentum has faded, a move toward 1.3515 is still possible as long as support at 1.3365 holds.

tredu.com | 9 days ago

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Gold Price Falls Sharply Amid Strong USD and Tariff Clarity

Gold Price Falls Sharply Amid Strong USD and Tariff Clarity

Gold prices fell over $50 to around $3,340 per troy ounce as the US Dollar strengthened and traders reacted to confirmation from President Trump that no tariffs will be imposed on Gold imports. Eyes now turn to upcoming US inflation data.

tredu.com | 9 days ago

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WTI Oil Holds Steady at $63.50 as Markets Await Putin-Trump Summit Outcome

WTI Oil Holds Steady at $63.50 as Markets Await Putin-Trump Summit Outcome

WTI crude oil trades sideways around $63.50 as traders await clarity from the upcoming Putin-Trump summit. Hopes for peace in Ukraine remain dim, while new US sanctions on Russia remain absent despite threats.

tredu.com | 9 days ago

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USD Gains Ahead of US CPI as Markets Brace for Potential 0.4% Core Inflation Print

USD Gains Ahead of US CPI as Markets Brace for Potential 0.4% Core Inflation Print

The US Dollar picks up momentum ahead of the key July CPI report, supported by short-covering and shifting expectations on US-China tariffs and the upcoming US-Russia meeting. A 0.4% MoM core CPI could alter Fed rate cut odds.

tredu.com | 9 days ago

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Gold Price Holds Modest Gains as Traders Eye US CPI and Fed Rate Outlook

Gold Price Holds Modest Gains as Traders Eye US CPI and Fed Rate Outlook

Gold (XAU/USD) trades with mild gains after rebounding from a one-week low, supported by rising expectations of a Fed rate cut in September. Traders stay cautious ahead of US inflation data and improving geopolitical sentiment.

tredu.com | 9 days ago

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Insights

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Tredu Team | Insights

Walmart Shares Fall As Q2 Earnings Miss But Revenue Beats; Outlook Raised

Walmart Shares Fall As Q2 Earnings Miss But Revenue Beats; Outlook Raised

Walmart Inc. (NYSE:WMT) reported mixed second-quarter results on Thursday, with revenue topping expectations while earnings came in below estimates. The retailer also raised its full-year sales and earnings forecast, signaling confidence in its growth despite near-term headwinds. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $0.68, short of analysts’ consensus of $0.74. Revenue totaled $177.4 billion, above the expected $174.4 billion and representing a 4.8% year-over-year increase, or 5.6% on a constant currency basis. Shares of Walmart fell more than 4% during Thursday’s session following the release. Global eCommerce sales grew 25%, supported by store-fulfilled pickup and delivery and marketplace expansion. The company’s advertising unit expanded 46%, boosted by its VIZIO acquisition, with Walmart Connect in the U.S. up 31%. Operating income declined 8.2% due to legal and restructuring charges. On an adjusted basis, operating income increased 0.4% in constant currency but was impacted by around 560 basis points from higher self-insured liability costs. Walmart raised its full-year net sales outlook, now projecting growth of 3.75% to 4.75% in constant currency, compared with its prior range of 3% to 4%. Fiscal 2026 EPS was guided at $2.52 to $2.62, though the midpoint of $2.57 remained below the analyst consensus of $2.64. For the third quarter, the company expects EPS between $0.58 and $0.60, above Wall Street’s $0.57 estimate.

Tredu Team | Insights

Coty Shares Plunge 21% As Quarterly Loss And Weak Outlook Rattle Investors

Coty Shares Plunge 21% As Quarterly Loss And Weak Outlook Rattle Investors

Coty Inc. (NYSE:COTY) shares dropped more than 21% on Thursday after the beauty company posted a surprise fourth-quarter loss and warned of sales and profit declines in the first half of fiscal 2026 before a recovery later in the year. The company reported a loss of 5 cents per share, compared with analyst expectations for a 2 cent profit. Revenue rose to $1.25 billion from $1.21 billion a year earlier, slightly above forecasts of $1.21 billion. Adjusted EBITDA reached $127 million, missing consensus estimates of $131 million. Adjusted operating income came in at $68 million, well short of the $98 million projected by Barclays. For fiscal 2026, Coty said it expects like-for-like sales to decline 6% to 8% in the first quarter and 3% to 5% in the second, citing cautious retailer orders, tariffs, and a more promotional environment. A return to growth is expected in the second half, supported by fragrance launches, geographic expansion, and easier year-over-year comparisons. The company forecast adjusted EPS of $0.33 to $0.36 for the first half, representing a high single to mid-teen percentage decline from last year. Adjusted EBITDA is projected to fall by double digits in the first two quarters before rebounding later in the fiscal year.

Tredu Team | Insights

UBS Lifts NVIDIA Price Target Ahead Of Q2 Earnings On Data Center Strength

UBS Lifts NVIDIA Price Target Ahead Of Q2 Earnings On Data Center Strength

UBS raised its price target on NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA) to $205 from $175 while maintaining a Buy rating, citing expectations for strong data center revenue ahead of the company’s second-quarter results on August 27. The brokerage said it sees fiscal Q2 revenue around $46 billion, roughly a $1 billion beat from the prior quarter, and forecast fiscal Q3 revenue of $54 billion to $55 billion excluding China, or as much as $57 billion if China is included. UBS noted supply chain checks indicated compute could grow 20% to 25% quarter-over-quarter from a $35 billion base in fiscal Q2, potentially adding $7 billion to $8 billion in compute revenue for fiscal Q3. Networking revenue was projected around $6 billion despite supply constraints, implying total data center revenue near $49 billion. The analysts cautioned that gaming comparisons may be more challenging after a strong fiscal Q1. They also pointed to possible reuse of written-down H20 inventory in China, while suggesting NVIDIA has placed new Hopper wafer orders and continues to work on a Blackwell version, amid expectations the U.S. government may raise export limits as part of rare earth negotiations.

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