By tredu.com • 6/20/2025
Tredu
The sharp drop in UK Retail Sales has caught markets off guard, revealing a deeper-than-expected slowdown in consumer spending. The figures come despite a strong April revision, suggesting growing economic uncertainty or weaker real household incomes.
The data may pressure the Bank of England to reassess its interest rate path, especially if upcoming inflation and labor data show similar weaknesses. The GBP may come under renewed selling pressure, particularly if investors price in a dovish BoE outlook.
IndicatorMay 2025April 2025 (Revised)Market ForecastRetail Sales (MoM)-2.7%+1.3%-0.5%Core Retail Sales (MoM)-2.8%+1.4%-0.5%Retail Sales (YoY)-1.3%+5.0%—Core Retail Sales (YoY)-1.3%+5.2%—
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