By tredu.com • 7/23/2025
Tredu
The EUR/JPY pair is holding firm near 172.40–172.50 in Wednesday’s Asian trading session as the Japanese Yen (JPY) faces renewed selling pressure. Reports from Japanese media indicate that Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba plans to resign by the end of August, following the LDP’s defeat in Sunday’s upper house elections.
The resignation speculation has created political uncertainty in Japan, which typically exerts a negative influence on the Yen. Investors are repositioning ahead of the expected leadership change and potential policy redirection.
Related Insight: How Political Instability Impacts Forex Markets
Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump announced a new reciprocal trade agreement with Japan, which includes 15% tariffs on select Japanese exports and $550 billion in investment commitments from Japan into the US. The deal also opens up Japan to more US agricultural and auto exports, potentially cushioning the Yen’s losses in the medium term.
Looking ahead, markets are focused on the European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate decision on Thursday. No rate change is expected, as the ECB has already executed eight rate cuts bringing the deposit rate to 2.0%. ECB President Christine Lagarde signaled last month that the rate-cutting cycle is nearing its end.
Any hawkish comments during the ECB Press Conference could lift the Euro, while a dovish tone may cap EUR/JPY’s upside in the near term.
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