By tredu.com • 5/29/2025
Tredu
The US Dollar Index (DXY) slipped back to 99.9160 on Thursday after hitting a one-week high of 100.540 overnight. This came after a federal court ruling invalidated President Trump’s sweeping tariffs, initially boosting the dollar in a knee-jerk reaction.
According to Kit Juckes, Global FX Strategist at Societe Generale, the initial dollar rally was understandable, as tariffs typically weigh on both the currency and US economic growth prospects. However, he notes that the legal decision doesn't remove the threat entirely.
"Tariffs are still on the table, and the only thing I’m sure of is that the level of uncertainty—already high—just increased again," Juckes said in his market note.
While the market celebrated a temporary win for trade stability, Juckes emphasizes the ruling doesn't eliminate future tariff risks. The evolving legal and political backdrop in the US may continue to create headline-driven volatility in the foreign exchange market.
The decision by the US Court of International Trade is seen as a check on executive power, but the White House has already filed an appeal, further clouding the policy landscape.
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