By tredu.com • 6/11/2025
Tredu
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the USD against a basket of major currencies, is trading higher near 99.10 during Wednesday’s Asian session. This marks the second consecutive day of gains, as the Greenback finds strength from easing US-China trade tensions and anticipation of the May US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data.
US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick stated Tuesday that the US and China have reached a tentative framework to implement the Geneva Consensus, aimed at stabilizing bilateral trade relations. China's Vice Commerce Minister Li Chenggang also confirmed that discussions were reasonable and frank and that the framework would be reviewed by Chinese leadership.
The de-escalation of tariff tensions has boosted investor confidence, providing additional support to the USD across the board.
Market participants are closely watching for the US CPI report, due later Wednesday. Expectations are set for a 2.5% year-over-year increase in May, which will influence inflation outlooks and future Federal Reserve monetary policy actions.
Yields on US Treasury bonds remained flat in the lead-up to the inflation release, reflecting cautious sentiment. At the time of writing:
These rates indicate a wait-and-see approach as investors assess how inflation and trade policy will shape economic growth and rate decisions.
In a key legal development, the US Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit extended a temporary stay, allowing the Trump-era tariffs to remain in place as appeals continue. The Justice Department argued that trade policy concerns outweigh claims of economic harm by small businesses.
This court decision reinforces the current tariff structure, which may influence inflation and trade-related capital flows, indirectly benefiting the US Dollar.
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