By tredu.com • 6/11/2025
Tredu
The US Dollar Index (DXY) remains trapped below the 99.20 mark on Wednesday, failing to capitalize on a tentative US-China trade agreement. Price movement has stayed confined within the past four days’ range, with upward momentum struggling to gain traction beyond the 99.00 handle.
While the deal is reportedly aimed at easing export restrictions on rare earths—reflecting a commitment to the Geneva summit agreement—investors are not fully convinced. The lack of detailed information regarding the scope and enforcement of the framework has left the market in a wait-and-see mode.
Investor focus is now shifting toward the May US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release and a 10-year Treasury note auction, both due later today. These two events could significantly influence the Federal Reserve’s rate outlook, which in turn will impact the USD’s trajectory.
Despite geopolitical developments, the Dollar’s muted response underscores the market’s growing caution. Traders are clearly awaiting more clarity from upcoming macroeconomic data before taking fresh directional bets.
The DXY remains range-bound, and a breakout beyond 99.20 could open the door to a stronger bullish run. Conversely, failure to hold above 98.75 may shift bias to the downside.
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