US Dollar Index Stalls Below 99.20 Despite US-China Accord

US Dollar Index Stalls Below 99.20 Despite US-China Accord

By tredu.com 6/11/2025

Tredu

US inflation dataDXY forecastUS Dollar Index
US Dollar Index Stalls Below 99.20 Despite US-China Accord

US Dollar Index Stalls Below 99.20 Despite US-China Accord

Limited Market Confidence in Trade Framework Weighs on USD

The US Dollar Index (DXY) remains trapped below the 99.20 mark on Wednesday, failing to capitalize on a tentative US-China trade agreement. Price movement has stayed confined within the past four days’ range, with upward momentum struggling to gain traction beyond the 99.00 handle.

While the deal is reportedly aimed at easing export restrictions on rare earths—reflecting a commitment to the Geneva summit agreement—investors are not fully convinced. The lack of detailed information regarding the scope and enforcement of the framework has left the market in a wait-and-see mode.

Cautious Trading Ahead of US CPI and Bond Sale

Investor focus is now shifting toward the May US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release and a 10-year Treasury note auction, both due later today. These two events could significantly influence the Federal Reserve’s rate outlook, which in turn will impact the USD’s trajectory.

Muted USD Reaction Signals Caution

Despite geopolitical developments, the Dollar’s muted response underscores the market’s growing caution. Traders are clearly awaiting more clarity from upcoming macroeconomic data before taking fresh directional bets.

Technical Analysis: DXY Range-Bound

  • Support Levels: 98.75, 98.40
  • Resistance Levels: 99.00, 99.20

The DXY remains range-bound, and a breakout beyond 99.20 could open the door to a stronger bullish run. Conversely, failure to hold above 98.75 may shift bias to the downside.

Internal Linking Suggestions for Tredu.com:

  • DXY Live Chart & Forecast
  • How Trade Deals Impact the USD
  • Understanding the CPI’s Role in Forex
  • USD Outlook: Macro & Technical Insights
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