By tredu.com • 7/2/2025
Tredu
The Silver price (XAG/USD) is trading sideways around $36.00 during the European session on Wednesday, as traders await key US labor market data, particularly ADP Employment Change and Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) for June. These reports are expected to provide critical insight into the Federal Reserve’s next move on interest rates.
Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman recently commented that the US labor market is showing early signs of stress. Her remarks strengthened expectations that the Fed might pivot toward interest rate cuts, especially if inflation remains stable.
"Absent inflation surprises to the upside, I would vote at our upcoming meeting to lower the policy rate… and sustain a healthy labor market," Bowman stated in the final week of June.
Such dovish commentary has introduced downside pressure on the US Dollar (USD), a development that traditionally supports precious metals like Silver.
Despite overall uncertainty, the US Dollar has gained some strength, limiting further upside for XAG/USD. Market sentiment remains cautious due to ongoing tariff and tax reform debates, which may influence both fiscal policy and broader risk appetite.
With June’s ADP Employment Change due later today, followed by the more influential NFP data on Thursday, traders are holding off on large positions. These reports could offer a clearer path for Silver’s next major move, particularly in relation to Fed policy.
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