By tredu.com • 7/2/2025
Tredu
The EUR/USD currency pair continued its downward trajectory on Wednesday, slipping below 1.1750, as US Dollar (USD) strength gains momentum ahead of the ADP Employment Change report. The pair rejected gains near 1.1800 and remains under pressure as a mixed batch of economic indicators steers the market narrative.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) staged a rebound from multi-year lows as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell signaled a cautious policy approach at the ECB’s Central Banking Forum in Sintra. Powell reiterated a “wait-and-see” strategy, citing inflation uncertainty and the need for further labor data before acting.
Additionally, the JOLTS Job Openings and ISM Manufacturing PMI both beat expectations:
These data points gave the USD a lift, curbing downside risks as markets await Wednesday’s ADP jobs report and Thursday’s Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP).
The Euro (EUR) slipped as investor sentiment was dampened by:
Although German factory activity improved and CPI data remained on track, the overall tone remained cautious, failing to lift the common currency.
The pair faces immediate support at 1.1720, with potential extension toward 1.1675 if US data beats expectations. Resistance now stands at 1.1800, a critical psychological level and recent rejection point.
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