AUD/USD Holds Firm Above 0.6560 as Dollar Weakens Ahead of NFP Data

AUD/USD Holds Firm Above 0.6560 as Dollar Weakens Ahead of NFP Data

By tredu.com 7/3/2025

Tredu

AUD/USDAustralian DollarUS Dollar
AUD/USD Holds Firm Above 0.6560 as Dollar Weakens Ahead of NFP Data

AUD/USD Steady Above 0.6560 as US Dollar Wavers Pre-NFP

The Australian Dollar (AUD) continues to trade near its year-to-date peak of 0.6590, holding firm despite underwhelming Australian trade data for May. The AUD/USD pair remains supported above 0.6560 as traders adopt a cautious stance on the US Dollar (USD) ahead of the closely watched US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report due later today.

Weak ADP Report Fuels Dollar Dovishness

The USD was pressured on Wednesday after the ADP employment change came in far weaker than expected, showing a net job loss of 33,000 compared to forecasts of a 95,000 increase. This disappointing data has amplified speculation over imminent Federal Reserve rate cuts, weakening the Dollar’s footing in the short term.

Australian Trade Surplus Disappoints, but AUD Stays Strong

The Australian Bureau of Statistics reported a trade surplus of 2,238M AUD for May, significantly below expectations of 5,091M AUD. However, the Aussie’s resilience suggests that markets are more focused on the global risk sentiment and USD weakness, rather than local fundamentals.

All Eyes on US NFP for Market Clarity

The upcoming US NFP report is expected to provide a clearer picture of the US labor market and influence the Fed’s policy trajectory. Markets anticipate a 110,000 increase in payrolls, and any surprise in the data could cause significant volatility in USD pairs, including AUD/USD.

Related Articles on Tredu:

  • US Dollar Index Dips Ahead of Payroll Data
  • Australian Trade Balance Falls Short in May
  • NFP and Fed Outlook: What to Expect
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